THE ‘FED PUT’, SOFT LANDING AND THE USD

The ‘Fed put’ emerged at December’s FOMC, boosting short-term USD optimism. EUR/USD dipped to 1.10 amid divergent ECB and Fed signals, cautioning against overly optimistic Eurozone growth. JPY saw stability, while USD/JPY rose with a subtle BoJ shift. In

REFLECTING ON 2023: OCTA’S IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF GLOBAL FINANCIAL TURMOIL

xplore the intricacies of the tumultuous year that was 2023, where soaring interest rates, economic shifts, and geopolitical tensions left an indelible mark on the global financial landscape. Octa’s expert analysts take you on a comprehensive journey, unr

SNB’S TRANSPARENCY AND ECB’S HAWKISH DILEMMA

In contrast to the ECB and the BoE, the SNB’s recent monetary policy meeting showcased a transparent stance on inflation. President Jordan’s assurance on monetary conditions set the tone, reflected in updated forecasts revealing a notable reduction in pro

JAPAN’S MONETARY FUTURE – NAVIGATING BEYOND NIRP EXIT AND GRADUAL POLICY SHIFTS

BoJ officials’ recent remarks on policy normalization have sparked market reactions. Pre-emptive adjustments have been made, reflecting unique conditions. My revised projection foresees a cash rate increase to 0.0% in 2Q 2024, moving up the timeline. Gove

FEDERAL RESERVE’S DOVISH SHIFT AND GLOBAL IMPLICATIONS

The pivotal catalyst for the dovish repricing overnight was the Federal Reserve’s latest policy update, signalling a shift towards lower rates as inflation converges toward their 2.0% target. During the accompanying press conference, Fed Chair Powell ment

CAN EUROPE SURVIVE THE UPCOMING WINTER?

Europe faced an unprecedented energy crisis for around seventeen months (from September 2021 to February 2023), as coal, natural gas, and electricity prices surged to all-time highs. Governments across the continent rushed in to introduce energy-saving me

EXAMINING FACTORS DRIVING STRENGTH, BOE PROJECTIONS, AND UK POLITICAL DYNAMICS

These recent political developments are contributing to an elevated risk of an earlier election in the UK next year. However, it is important to note that immediate impacts on the pound are not anticipated today, as currency markets may take time to fully

BANK OF ENGLAND HOLDS INTEREST RATES, EYES POSSIBLE REDUCTIONS IN THE NEW YEAR

This strategic move by the Bank of England, if realised, could have far-reaching implications for the British economy and its citizens. Unlike its American counterpart, which has been actively pursuing interest rate hikes to counter inflation, the Bank of

FED’S STRATEGY IN THE DECEMBER FOMC MEETING AMIDST DIVERGENT MARKET EXPECTATIONS

As the year draws to a close, all eyes are on the impending December FOMC meeting—the culmination of major US economic events. Expected to be the final act of the rate-hike cycle, this meeting sparks curiosity about the Fed’s stance on potential rate cuts

ANTICIPATION BUILDS: ANALYSING THE UPCOMING NOVEMBER CPI DATA RELEASE FOR THE US ECONOMY

As the clock approaches 13:30 GMT, market participants worldwide are eagerly awaiting the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November, a pivotal economic indicator that provides critical insights into the current state of the United States

BANK OF CANADA’S FINAL 2023 POLICY UPDATE ON THE CANADIAN DOLLAR AND FUTURE MONETARY LANDSCAPE

Despite the release of updated policy guidance, which did not bring about significant alterations to market expectations, there persists a prevailing sentiment that the Bank of Canada is likely to embark on a rate-cutting cycle in the coming year. Market

How to invest in US stocks after interest rate cuts and cooling down? Goldman Sachs: Buy on dips!

管理着2.7万亿美元资产的高盛资产管理公司(GSAM)的负责多资产解决方案副首席投资官Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo表示，显示美国劳动力市场弹性的新数据限制了美国股市连续五周的上涨，进一步下跌意味着买入机会。

Research institution: The Federal Reserve is expected to slow down the pace of scale reduction starting from June next year

Federal Reserve research firm Wrightson ICAP has stated that as the outlook for bank reserves becomes increasingly bleak, the Federal Reserve will need to begin to stop reducing its balance sheet.

The Federal Reserves interest rate cut reset pricing, Goldman Sachs said US stocks should "buy on dips"

The unexpectedly strong recruitment data in November has triggered a repricing of the Federal Reserve\\\'s interest rate trend, and swap contracts currently show that investors believe the possibility of a rate cut in March next year is unlikely. As the m

Biden puts pressure on the Federal Reserve: Strong non farm payroll is not a reason to raise interest rates

He said in his speech in Las Vegas, Nevada that this number is a "sweet spot" needed for stable growth and reducing inflation, rather than encouraging the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Recent US presidents have avoided making routine